Houston Astros vs

Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Baltimore Orioles are 30-30 at home this season and the Houston Astros are 31-31 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Cade Povich has a 38% chance of a QS and Lance McCullers a 36% chance. If Cade Povich has a quality start the Orioles has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 53%. If Lance McCullers has a quality start the Astros has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 2.44 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jose Altuve who averaged 2.5 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 66% chance of winning.