New Orleans Saints vs

Dallas Cowboys Prediction

In what is shaping up to be a nail-biter of a matchup, the New Orleans Saints are projected to win 41.0% of simulations, while the Dallas Cowboys come out on top in 59.0% of scenarios. With such a tight margin between the two teams, turnover margin is expected to play a crucial role in determining the outcome of this game. The Saints have the edge in committing fewer turnovers in 55.0% of simulations, which directly correlates to their winning percentage of 55.0 when they protect the ball well. On the other hand, the Cowboys dominate in simulations where they commit fewer turnovers, with a strong winning percentage of 78.0.

Quarterback Derek Carr will be instrumental for the Cowboys as he aims to maintain his average of 273.0 passing yards per simulation. If Carr can have a standout performance with above-average passing yards and a TD to INT ratio of at least 2 to 1 (36.0% chance), he significantly boosts his team's chances of emerging victorious, with a win rate of 50%. Meanwhile, running back Ezekiel Elliott will look to make an impact on the ground by striving to surpass his average of 59.0 rushing yards per sim. If Elliott can have an exceptional game with increased rushing yards and at least one rushing touchdown (36.0% chance), he drastically improves his team's odds of success, with a remarkable winning rate of 76%.

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